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Forecast: 1.7 billion mobile web users by 2013

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The emergence of collaborative Web 2.0 applications including social networking, user-generated content, location-based services and instant messaging will galvanize the mobile web according to a new report issued by market research firm Juniper Research, which forecasts the number of mobile web users will grow from 577 million in 2008 to more than 1.7 billion in 2013. Juniper also credits expanded 2.5/3G penetration as a catalyst for mobile web uptake, but argues that mobile operators and handset makers will have to adapt their commercial strategies to accommodate greater collaboration with other segments of the value chain if its growth projections are to become a reality.

Additional findings from the Juniper report:

  • The Far East & China will represent the largest market for mobile web use, topping 415 million users by 2013, up from a year-end 2008 total of 190 million.
  • The greatest potential for mobile web adoption lies in South America, while growth opportunities in markets like Western and Eastern Europe (which enjoy greater fixed broadband penetration) are more limited.
  • A number of mobile Web 2.0 applications will hinge on flat-data or even free pricing, meaning industry players must seek new revenue streams.

For more on the Juniper Research report:
- read this release

Related articles:
Study: Men dominate mobile web browsing 9 to 1
The new wave of mobile web surfing


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I linked to this site in my blog where I talk about how this trend of more mobile-web users creates an urgency for websites to have mobile-friendly design and search features. Thank you for this post, the statistics were helpful. It is amazing how the web is going to change in the next five years.

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